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The file room.

What the method is built on, written down and grouped by section. Some entries are open, some are for members.

26 entries · 3 sections

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8 matching

22,500 coin flipsThe Levitt experiment. What it found, and the three things it does not show.Case files04 SEPT · 06:506 minrisk · method

The cost of an open positionWaiting reads as prudence and behaves as loss. Here is the arithmetic.Field notes27 AUG · 06:504 mintime · risk

An inverted timeline running back from a red failure marker through five numbered cause cells.

The premortem, and the room where it failsKahneman called it his favorite debiasing tool. It takes twenty minutes and it stops working the moment the most senior man in the room…Case files03 AUG · 09:306 minmethod · risk

An org-chart fragment with two fading escalation arrows and a shortfall gap under a rule labelled BAR.

Your best friend works for you and he is not good at the jobYou have known for five months. Every week you do not act, the eventual conversation gets worse and your authority with everyone else gets…Field notes25 JUL · 13:256 mincareer · negotiation

A decision graph forking into two nodes with the combined node struck through, above a two-by-two matrix.

He took the job in another city, she stayedWorked example, not a customer: position SPLIT, confidence 4/10, window 21d, and a read that refused to answer the question as asked.Debriefs03 JUN · 18:205 minrelationship · career

A stepped capital burn line descending from 40K and crossing a red STOP threshold.

You want to put $40,000 into your own thingThe number is not the risk. The risk is that you have not written down what a failure looks like, so you will not be able to tell when you…Field notes01 MAY · 10:206 minmoney · risk

Two block-diagram panels divided by a vertical hairline, with four week markers ruled beneath.

You and your co-founder want different companiesThe split is already happening; the only open question is whether it happens on paper or through attrition. A four-week protocol, and the…Field notes20 APR · 07:557 mincareer · money

A twelve-segment runway gauge with four months filled, beside an empty checkbox labelled FIRST MOVE.

You want to quit your job and you do not have a plan"Get a plan first" is advice that keeps men in jobs for years. The actual requirement is smaller and you can write it on one index card.Field notes02 APR · 08:056 mincareer · risk