ELDR
$ eldr --open debrief-the-hold-that-was-correct

The hold that was correct

Worked example: HOLD at 8/10, window 30d. Waiting was genuinely buying something, which is rare.

$ eldr --debrief 7QX2


POSITION     HOLD
CONFIDENCE   8/10
WINDOW       30d
OUTCOME      acted
LOGGED       day 31
SOURCE       constructed file

This is a constructed worked example, not a customer. Nothing has been logged yet, so the file and its numbers are written to show what the instrument does with a decision where waiting is genuinely buying something.

HOLD is not the default. It is returned when the information rate is high and the option decay rate is low — when waiting is genuinely buying something.

The read

Two of the fourteen inputs did the work: he had a concrete event on the calendar inside the window that would change the answer, and nothing in the situation expired before it. That is the entire case for HOLD, and it is rarer than people want it to be.

The counter-case, verbatim

You have described waiting for this event twice before, in the same words, about different events. Check whether the calendar item is information or permission.

He checked, and it was information rather than permission. He waited, the event happened, the decision made itself, and the outcome logged at 4 out of 5.

The rule

HOLD is only honest when you can name the event that ends it. "I will know more later" is not an event. A date is an event.

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