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The file room.

What the method is built on, written down and grouped by section. Some entries are open, some are for members.

26 entries · 3 sections

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7 matching

22,500 coin flipsThe Levitt experiment. What it found, and the three things it does not show.Case files04 SEPT · 06:506 minrisk · method

Fourteen inputs, one positionWhat intake asks, why it asks it, and what it refuses to ask.Field notes29 AUG · 06:505 mindecision · method

Your judgment is worse at 6pm and you cannot feel itThe 60% statistic everyone quotes on this traces back to a software vendor's blog, so we refuse it. The mechanism survives without it, and…Case files12 AUG · 07:206 mindecision · method

An inverted timeline running back from a red failure marker through five numbered cause cells.

The premortem, and the room where it failsKahneman called it his favorite debiasing tool. It takes twenty minutes and it stops working the moment the most senior man in the room…Case files03 AUG · 09:306 minmethod · risk

A shallow nine-year trajectory line with a marker at year 31 and three dotted projections.

You are 31 and you think you picked the wrong careerIn a 2017 LinkedIn survey, 75% of people aged 25 to 33 reported a quarter-life crisis and 61% named career. That number is the argument…Field notes18 MAY · 11:156 mincareer · time

Eighteen identical monthly columns under a flat reference line, the last one marked in red.

You have been deciding whether to leave her for eighteen monthsThe length of the deliberation is itself the most informative number in the file. What it means, and the one reading of it that lets you…Field notes11 APR · 19:406 minrelationship · time

A schematic countdown of nine day cells, five struck out, above two unequal bars labelled CASH and SCOPE.

You can't decide on the job offer and the deadline is FridayFive more days will not produce the information you are waiting for. Here are the three things that would, and how long each one actually…Field notes24 MAR · 09:106 mincareer · money